Archive for the 'Bad management' Category

August
22
2007

Sox about to fall back into cellar

2:59 pm — 

As I write this, the White Sox are losing 6-2 to the Kansas City Royals.

A loss would put the White Sox in a tie with the Royals for last place in the AL Central.

A lot of people would like to see the White Sox win a few games and look like the “team of old” so that their hopes of a re-emergence in 2008 will be validated.

Not me, though.

No, I want the White Sox to lose today and continue losing. If I had my way, they’d lose every game from here on out. I say this as an ardent White Sox fan.

Am I crazy? Maybe. Just a little. But, if you haven’t already stopped reading, hear me out.

As I’ve said before, the White Sox are being run by folks who think they’ve put together a top-notch ball club — one more than capable of returning to the World Series. They think when they see someone pitch as well as Jose Contreras did in late 2005, early 2006, that they’re seeing what this pitcher is truly capable of.

Well, that may be true sometimes, but with just about every single White Sox player, it’s simply not the case.

If you want to know how good a player is, take a look at his past performance. If you want to project how good a player will be, take a look at his past performance.

Consider this: Entering 2002, Jermaine Dye had a .272 career batting average. Not too shabby, and certainly a player that belongs in the major leagues in one capacity or another.

Dye batted .315 in 2006 and was an integral part of the White Sox beloved 3-4-5 part of the order. Now, random fluctuations in batting average like this happen, mainly due to luck (his OBP in 2006 also jumped about 50 points from his career norm).

It wouldn’t be surprising to see a player have a monster season in maybe his third or fourth season as a big leaguer, a phenomenon known as a breakout season. The past, in such a case, hasn’t given us a large enough sample to rule it out.

But Dye is 33. Players don’t just break out at 33. Some players have monster break outs when they’re 37, but substance abuse cases aside, you just don’t see this happen.

This is the backbone of the arguments people who predicted the Sox to finish in 4th place or worse this year.

And they are the ones who have been validated. Dye is hitting .245 with an OBP of .308. These are exactly the types of numbers you’d expect Dye to post to bring his averages back to the level we’ve come to know.

And with all the regression the Sox are experiencing this season to bring their individual numbers back to their career averages, my only hope is that somebody in the organization — with any amount of power — opens his/her eyes to what is going on.

It clearly didn’t happen before the White Sox signed Jermaine Dye to that 2-year, $22 million deal. Maybe it’ll happen now.

The White Sox are entering the 9th inning now, down 7-3. A loss would bring their record to 56-70.

Here’s hoping they finish 56-106. That should get someone’s — anyone’s! — attention.

Just, out.